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Unfortunately, it's a question of feel. After playing many hands of this (a long time ago) and being a lifetime player of games like Asshole - you just know when you can permit yourself to go for the gold, instead of the silver. I would play conservatively and try and feel out the other leaders and then go for it if I thought their hands were relatively ...

You cannot know because TGD is an incomplete-information game Most you can do is look at your cards and try to develop a plan, watch the round as it unfolds, maybe try to analyze your opponents' play style much like in poker. One way to improve your seat order by strategy is to wait for the top seater(s) to make their play and to not waste your good cards ...