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seen Dec 11 at 22:02

Sep
26
answered How can I make Kids of Catan less luck based?
Sep
21
awarded  Custodian
Sep
7
reviewed Reject How do I deal with Enchantments while playing mono-red?
Aug
28
asked Remembering Decktet Card Distribution
Aug
25
awarded  Notable Question
Aug
23
awarded  Nice Question
Aug
16
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
@user1873 Great! Let me know if you want any further bits broken down.
Aug
15
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
P(No sandbags | v=1) = P(No sandbags given v=1) = P(The one non-WR card is not a sandbags card) =(23-2n)/(25-2n)
Aug
15
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
Breaking it down: P(v=1) = (2 orderings)*(3 ways to pick a WR)*(25-2n ways to not pick a WR)/(total ways to pick two ordered cards) = 6(25-2n)/((28-2n)(27-2n))
Aug
14
answered How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
Aug
10
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
@user1873 I ran a script and came up with the diver's chance of not being able to reach Fool's Landing as 4611612/18574248 which is about 25%. It's more than the explorer, but less than everyone else, so sounds about right. If anyone wants to either check my (horrific) code, or calculate it independently then let me know!
Aug
10
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
The six card discard pile isn't shuffled into the deck. It's shuffled and placed on top of the deck - increasing the odds that FL is redrawn to w/6.
Aug
9
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
Oh - just saw that user1873 posted the same thing :-)
Aug
9
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
This is a really good start, but I think a big issue with this at the moment is that you haven't considered the diver separately. I can't see an easy way to calculate the number of squares he can't reach, it may need to be scripted.
Aug
9
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
Maybe I've misread, but I don't think the chance of getting a helicopter/sandbags card to start with is 5/2n. This is >1 for two players :-) Instead I think it's 1-(20 C (2n))/(25 C (2n)) (where C is the "combinations" function), which is ~0.62 for 2 players, ~0.78 for 3 players, and ~0.88 for 4 players.
Aug
9
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
I haven't read this through yet, but looks good. Just wanted to note that w = 2 if you're playing on novice: boardgamegeek.com/image/1001886/forbidden-island
Aug
9
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
+1 What a good question :-) I hadn't thought of the possibility of losing first turn due to someone sinking into the abyss. Definitely possible, but you've got to be really unlucky!
Aug
8
comment Programme to help with face to face diplomacy
Hi dsas! Thanks for the suggestion - in the end I did use jDip, and it was perfect for my needs. We then used VNC to relay the map to other computers in conference rooms.
Aug
8
awarded  Popular Question
Aug
7
comment Can't remember the name of this card game
Is it anything like Slam or Ligretto? boardgames.about.com/od/spit/a/spit_rules.htm en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ligretto