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Oct
23
revised What's the name of the move where the player swaps King and Rook/Castle in Chess? Why is this move important?
Link to history of move and tidying answer
Oct
20
reviewed Reject What are the key card combos to look out for in Agricola draft?
Oct
20
awarded  Yearling
Oct
5
comment What are the chances of losing Pandemic on the first turn?
@bwarner Jefromi - I agree - trying to stop the chain reactions would definitely be an improvement on the above strategies. I'll have a look at simulating it when I get a chance.
Oct
4
answered What are the chances of losing Pandemic on the first turn?
Sep
28
revised How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
Adding summary to top of answer
Sep
26
reviewed Approve miniatures tag wiki excerpt
Sep
26
reviewed Approve miniatures tag wiki
Sep
26
answered How can I make Kids of Catan less luck based?
Sep
21
awarded  Custodian
Sep
7
reviewed Reject How do I deal with Enchantments while playing mono-red?
Aug
28
asked Remembering Decktet Card Distribution
Aug
25
awarded  Notable Question
Aug
23
awarded  Nice Question
Aug
16
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
@user1873 Great! Let me know if you want any further bits broken down.
Aug
15
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
P(No sandbags | v=1) = P(No sandbags given v=1) = P(The one non-WR card is not a sandbags card) =(23-2n)/(25-2n)
Aug
15
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
Breaking it down: P(v=1) = (2 orderings)*(3 ways to pick a WR)*(25-2n ways to not pick a WR)/(total ways to pick two ordered cards) = 6(25-2n)/((28-2n)(27-2n))
Aug
14
answered How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
Aug
10
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
@user1873 I ran a script and came up with the diver's chance of not being able to reach Fool's Landing as 4611612/18574248 which is about 25%. It's more than the explorer, but less than everyone else, so sounds about right. If anyone wants to either check my (horrific) code, or calculate it independently then let me know!
Aug
10
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
The six card discard pile isn't shuffled into the deck. It's shuffled and placed on top of the deck - increasing the odds that FL is redrawn to w/6.