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Nov
10
comment I have the Alhambra base set only, in which order should I buy the expansions?
Thanks for this answer. Great level of detail!
Nov
8
comment What are the odds of getting the following hands in euchre?
@ghoppe Thanks! I don't think that's the issue, but it's an interesting anomaly. The python script definitely excludes scenario 1 from scenario 2. My guess is that my arithmetic is wrong somewhere in the calculation, but I haven't spotted where yet!
Nov
6
comment Remembering Decktet Card Distribution
+1 Thanks very much - these are good summaries. I found another image which may also be useful, which I'll post once I find it again!
Nov
5
comment What are the odds of getting the following hands in euchre?
@shujaa Thanks! I've made an edit to include that now.
Nov
2
comment Is team approval voting kept secret?
+1 Good answer. Just wanted to say that the spies win the game if there are 5 failed votes in a round.
Oct
26
comment Are some pieces better than others in Blokus?
I agree, the "one" is the best piece and so you shouldn't try to get rid of it
Oct
26
comment Are some pieces better than others in Blokus?
@JoeGolton I was actually trying not to ask which pieces to play first :-) I already asked that here: boardgames.stackexchange.com/questions/1497/…
Oct
25
comment What are the odds of getting the following hands in euchre?
Hi Firefeather. I've been reading through some of the older posts recently, and I don't think the calculations above are quite right. I think you're right that you can ignore ordering, but in that case the total number of hands isn't 24*23*22*21*20, it's that divided by 5*4*3*2*1 (or 24C5). Also I didn't follow the logic in scenario 2 when it came to looking at the four remaining cards.
Oct
5
comment What are the chances of losing Pandemic on the first turn?
@bwarner Jefromi - I agree - trying to stop the chain reactions would definitely be an improvement on the above strategies. I'll have a look at simulating it when I get a chance.
Aug
16
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
@user1873 Great! Let me know if you want any further bits broken down.
Aug
15
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
P(No sandbags | v=1) = P(No sandbags given v=1) = P(The one non-WR card is not a sandbags card) =(23-2n)/(25-2n)
Aug
15
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
Breaking it down: P(v=1) = (2 orderings)*(3 ways to pick a WR)*(25-2n ways to not pick a WR)/(total ways to pick two ordered cards) = 6(25-2n)/((28-2n)(27-2n))
Aug
10
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
@user1873 I ran a script and came up with the diver's chance of not being able to reach Fool's Landing as 4611612/18574248 which is about 25%. It's more than the explorer, but less than everyone else, so sounds about right. If anyone wants to either check my (horrific) code, or calculate it independently then let me know!
Aug
10
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
The six card discard pile isn't shuffled into the deck. It's shuffled and placed on top of the deck - increasing the odds that FL is redrawn to w/6.
Aug
9
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
Oh - just saw that user1873 posted the same thing :-)
Aug
9
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
This is a really good start, but I think a big issue with this at the moment is that you haven't considered the diver separately. I can't see an easy way to calculate the number of squares he can't reach, it may need to be scripted.
Aug
9
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
Maybe I've misread, but I don't think the chance of getting a helicopter/sandbags card to start with is 5/2n. This is >1 for two players :-) Instead I think it's 1-(20 C (2n))/(25 C (2n)) (where C is the "combinations" function), which is ~0.62 for 2 players, ~0.78 for 3 players, and ~0.88 for 4 players.
Aug
9
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
I haven't read this through yet, but looks good. Just wanted to note that w = 2 if you're playing on novice: boardgamegeek.com/image/1001886/forbidden-island
Aug
9
comment How likely are you to lose because Fool's Landing sinks into the abyss?
+1 What a good question :-) I hadn't thought of the possibility of losing first turn due to someone sinking into the abyss. Definitely possible, but you've got to be really unlucky!
Aug
8
comment Programme to help with face to face diplomacy
Hi dsas! Thanks for the suggestion - in the end I did use jDip, and it was perfect for my needs. We then used VNC to relay the map to other computers in conference rooms.