How can we prevent wins by pure luck in Decrypto?

I've played Decrypto over the weekend and wasn't impressed with it due to how big of a role luck plays in the game. For example in the very first round one can win by simply guessing all three numbers correctly, with a probability of 1 in 24. If you're certain about one word, the odds become 1 in 6, which still results in absurd situations where the opposing team guesses your code sequence while your own team doesn't.

Is there a way to completely remove luck from the equation? One idea was to force the other team to guess the exact word for each of the 4 slots, but this would potentially make the game too difficult.

• How do you define luck? Which specific mechanics of Decrypto do you consider to rely on luck? Commented Nov 22, 2021 at 22:42
• @ryanyuyu in round 1 of Decrypto, you have a 1 in 24 chance of guessing the opposite teams code without actually guessing any of the words. If you know one word for certain, your odds are 1 in 6. Commented Nov 23, 2021 at 0:10
• You didn't actually define luck. You just named some probabilities. Do you consider anything with a probability that isn't either 0 or 1 to be "luck"? I'm not trying to be pedantic here, but it's important to know what you consider to be "luck" vs "skill" in order to "completely remove luck from the equation" Commented Nov 23, 2021 at 22:59
• @ryanyuyu ideally I'd want a version where winning by luck is impossible Commented Nov 23, 2021 at 23:09
• Don't play games with guessing if you don't want to lose by luck, if people are allowed to guess then there is always a chance that you lose at any point. Commented Apr 12, 2022 at 18:16