Timeline for What happens if I set up for a "29 hand" and miss?
Current License: CC BY-SA 4.0
9 events
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| S Jan 5, 2020 at 14:12 | history | suggested | D M | CC BY-SA 4.0 |
Correction on the odds; you can't draw a J of the suit matching the J you have in hand, for obvious reasons
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| Jan 4, 2020 at 23:42 | review | Suggested edits | |||
| S Jan 5, 2020 at 14:12 | |||||
| Jan 4, 2020 at 23:37 | comment | added | D M | The "any other card matching the in-hand J" calculation seems to be off. There are only 8 cards that fit this, not 9. (It can't be the J, because that's already in your hand! That leaves A/2/3/4/6/7/8/9.) | |
| Jun 8, 2016 at 17:03 | comment | added | Iszi | Though perhaps some re-phrasing could be done to more accurately reflect the actual value of turning down a shot at 29, I'm not sure a down-vote is really warranted. Unless you're expecting a broad answer that fully covers all situations - including accounting for the other two cards one gets dealt - there's nothing wrong with the raw data provided here that I'm aware of. | |
| Jun 8, 2016 at 16:58 | comment | added | Iszi | Sometimes it's better to play for pegs than the hand. Though it's true I've also got a hard time imagining situations where breaking up a hand that has a minimum score of 14 would be advantageous. Perhaps the critical scenario would be when your opponent is very near to conclusion but you're >14 away. Playing for 29 then could be a mistake as you stand a very good chance of not making the points that you need, while setting yourself up to give your opponent easy pegging opportunities. | |
| Jun 8, 2016 at 13:50 | comment | added | bwarner | I agree with Steven. There's really no "risk" unless you could somehow end up with a better hand by holding something different, and that seems very unlikely. | |
| Jun 8, 2016 at 0:18 | comment | added | Steven Stadnicki | The thing that I'm missing in this whole discussion (both question and answer) is, what two cards are you cribbing such that your overall EV is somehow worse keeping 555J than keeping something else? Unless you were on something like 45556J and it's your crib, it's really hard to imagine any 6 cards that have higher expectation on something else than on 555J... | |
| Jun 7, 2016 at 22:29 | history | edited | Iszi | CC BY-SA 3.0 |
added 313 characters in body
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| Jun 7, 2016 at 22:23 | history | answered | Iszi | CC BY-SA 3.0 |