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GendoIkari
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There is no official answer that I have found, but I asked the same question on BGG about Betrayal Legacy, which has the same rule for starting the haunt, without ever getting an answer.

However, this is in all likelihood only a theoretical question, and not a practical one, because the odds of it coming up are pretty tiny. On the 12th13th role, you have just about a 1%0.45% chance of not getting 6 or higher. And that's after having failed the other roles. The total probability:

Chance of not starting haunt on role #:

  • #1: 1
  • #2: 1
  • #3: .96
  • #4: .81
  • #5: .60
  • #6: .40
  • #7: .25
  • #8: .14
  • #9: .08
  • #10: .040397
  • #11: .020198
  • #12: .010096
  • #13: .0045

The odds of all of these events happening in a real game?

0.000000385464%00000000174149%, or 1 out of every 25957,427422,843154,217 games.

Now if you're limiting yourself to only using 8 dice, since the rules aren't clear about what to do if you don't start the haunt after drawing your 8th omen, then the odds are a better, but still unlikely.

There is no official answer that I have found, but I asked the same question on BGG about Betrayal Legacy, which has the same rule for starting the haunt, without ever getting an answer.

However, this is in all likelihood only a theoretical question, and not a practical one, because the odds of it coming up are pretty tiny. On the 12th role, you have just about a 1% chance of not getting 6 or higher. And that's after having failed the other roles. The total probability:

Chance of not starting haunt on role #:

  • #1: 1
  • #2: 1
  • #3: .96
  • #4: .81
  • #5: .60
  • #6: .40
  • #7: .25
  • #8: .14
  • #9: .08
  • #10: .04
  • #11: .02
  • #12: .01

The odds of all of these events happening in a real game?

0.000000385464%, or 1 out of every 259,427,843 games.

Now if you're limiting yourself to only using 8 dice, since the rules aren't clear about what to do if you don't start the haunt after drawing your 8th omen, then the odds are a better, but still unlikely.

There is no official answer that I have found, but I asked the same question on BGG about Betrayal Legacy, which has the same rule for starting the haunt, without ever getting an answer.

However, this is in all likelihood only a theoretical question, and not a practical one, because the odds of it coming up are pretty tiny. On the 13th role, you have just about a 0.45% chance of not getting 6 or higher. And that's after having failed the other roles. The total probability:

Chance of not starting haunt on role #:

  • #1: 1
  • #2: 1
  • #3: .96
  • #4: .81
  • #5: .60
  • #6: .40
  • #7: .25
  • #8: .14
  • #9: .08
  • #10: .0397
  • #11: .0198
  • #12: .0096
  • #13: .0045

The odds of all of these events happening in a real game?

0.00000000174149%, or 1 out of every 57,422,154,217 games.

Now if you're limiting yourself to only using 8 dice, since the rules aren't clear about what to do if you don't start the haunt after drawing your 8th omen, then the odds are a better, but still unlikely.

Source Link
GendoIkari
  • 75.2k
  • 4
  • 172
  • 299

There is no official answer that I have found, but I asked the same question on BGG about Betrayal Legacy, which has the same rule for starting the haunt, without ever getting an answer.

However, this is in all likelihood only a theoretical question, and not a practical one, because the odds of it coming up are pretty tiny. On the 12th role, you have just about a 1% chance of not getting 6 or higher. And that's after having failed the other roles. The total probability:

Chance of not starting haunt on role #:

  • #1: 1
  • #2: 1
  • #3: .96
  • #4: .81
  • #5: .60
  • #6: .40
  • #7: .25
  • #8: .14
  • #9: .08
  • #10: .04
  • #11: .02
  • #12: .01

The odds of all of these events happening in a real game?

0.000000385464%, or 1 out of every 259,427,843 games.

Now if you're limiting yourself to only using 8 dice, since the rules aren't clear about what to do if you don't start the haunt after drawing your 8th omen, then the odds are a better, but still unlikely.